Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000628 0.000722 0.000821 0.000933 0.001058 0.001191 0.001343
2025-04-27 0.000489 0.000618 0.000765 0.000944 0.001153 0.001390 0.001675
2025-05-04 0.000406 0.000548 0.000718 0.000934 0.001196 0.001503 0.001886
2025-05-11 0.000339 0.000487 0.000671 0.000915 0.001222 0.001592 0.002066
2025-05-18 0.000300 0.000454 0.000655 0.000927 0.001281 0.001718 0.002291
2025-05-25 0.000264 0.000422 0.000633 0.000930 0.001326 0.001825 0.002490
2025-06-01 0.000224 0.000377 0.000591 0.000901 0.001324 0.001869 0.002612
2025-06-08 0.000190 0.000339 0.000553 0.000873 0.001321 0.001910 0.002726
2025-06-15 0.000169 0.000316 0.000535 0.000870 0.001350 0.001993 0.002895
2025-06-22 0.000151 0.000296 0.000519 0.000869 0.001380 0.002075 0.003064
2025-06-29 0.000133 0.000274 0.000498 0.000858 0.001394 0.002136 0.003206
2025-07-06 0.000116 0.000252 0.000475 0.000842 0.001399 0.002183 0.003328
2025-07-13 0.000108 0.000244 0.000475 0.000862 0.001459 0.002309 0.003565
2025-07-20 0.000099 0.000235 0.000471 0.000875 0.001509 0.002422 0.003785
2025-07-27 0.000088 0.000218 0.000453 0.000864 0.001522 0.002482 0.003931
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000201 0.000432 0.000847 0.001522 0.002523 0.004051
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000194 0.000428 0.000859 0.001569 0.002632 0.004269
2025-08-17 0.000064 0.000184 0.000420 0.000861 0.001600 0.002719 0.004457
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000167 0.000395 0.000833 0.001581 0.002729 0.004533
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000151 0.000373 0.000807 0.001564 0.002740 0.004609
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000143 0.000363 0.000805 0.001584 0.002810 0.004774
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000135 0.000355 0.000804 0.001606 0.002882 0.004942
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000126 0.000342 0.000793 0.001613 0.002930 0.005075